Question: Are
salinity increases in Florida Bay the result of natural
climatic cycles or the diversion of freshwater from
man-made structures upstream?
Project: Sediment cores were collected from central and northeastern Florida Bay. Each layer of sediment was chemically dated and sorted for fossil remains. Scientists looked for indicator species of groups such as ostracods (distant cousins to crabs), to infer the salinity at the time the animals were alive. The ostracod shells were also analyzed for calcium carbonate, magnesium, sodium and strontium. These analyses provide an additional means to estimate the past salinity history.
Findings to Date: Prior to 1940, salinity swings of 20 to 35 parts of salt per thousand (ppt.) occurred in central and northeastern Florida Bay. The patterns seen in the salinity data indicates a 6-year rain and drought cycle thought to be associated with El Nio and La Nia events. Additionally, there appears to be a 13-year cycle in salinity driven by an unknown climatic factor not related to El Nio.
Post 1940, the frequency and amplitude of the Bays salinity has increased. It is now common to find a salinity range from 20 to 45 ppt. with episodes as high as 60 ppt. These extremes in salinity have caused the local extinction of several species in the Bay.
The increase in Florida Bays salinity level is attributed to human activities directly and indirectly. Locally, the 1940s correspond with major ecosystem changes in the diversion of freshwater via the construction of canals in South Florida. Indirectly, and on a larger scale, the 20th Century has seen human induced climate changes related to global warming. These global changes in the atmosphere have the potential to alter the El Nio cycles that affect the Florida Bay ecosystem.
Status: Ongoing, results will be finalized in 2000.
Restoration Impacts: Provides resource managers with an overview of the natural range of salinity levels in Florida Bays past.
Funding Source: United States Geological Survey
Related Profiles:
FBPP-09 FBPP-108
FBPP-145 FBPP-147
FBPP-149 FBPP-150